Too Late To Buy Sabre Corp (NASDAQ: SABR)?

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Sabre Corp (NASDAQ: SABR) investors have enjoyed seeing the stock price increase by 26.0% over the prior three months. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Let’s take a look at the company’s expected growth and valuation based on its most recent financial data to see if there is further upside moving forward.


What’s The Opportunity In Sabre?

Welcoming news for investors, Sabre is still trading at a fairly cheap price. According to our 8 valuation analyses, the intrinsic value for the stock is $27.82 per share and is currently trading at $23.12 in the market. This means that there is still an opportunity to buy now.

Sabre Corp Valuation Detail
Analysis Model Fair Value Upside (Downside)
10-yr DCF Revenue Exit $30.27 30.9%
5-yr DCF Revenue Exit $29.25 26.5%
Peer Revenue Multiples $26.13 13.0%
Peer EBITDA Multiples $34.28 48.3%
10-yr DCF Growth Exit $29.54 27.8%
5-yr DCF Growth Exit $28.59 23.7%
Peer P/E Multiples $24.73 7.0%
Dividend Discount Model (multi-stage) $19.74 -14.6%
Average $27.82 20.3%

Click on any of the analyses above to view the latest model with real-time data.

Sabre’s share price also seems relatively stable compared to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta of 0.65. If you believe the share price should eventually reach its true value, a low beta could suggest it is unlikely to rapidly do so anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range.


Can We Expect Growth From Sabre?

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matters the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price.

Sabre projected net income chartsource: finbox.io data explorer

With net income expected to grow at an average rate of 21.1% over the next couple years, the future certainly appears bright for Sabre. It looks like higher cash flows are in the cards for shareholders, which should feed into a higher stock valuation.


What This Means For Investors

Growth investors typically look to invest in companies that are expanding sales, gaining market share and building customer bases. On the other hand, value investors often argue that the most successful investments are in companies that deliver the highest cash flows while trading at the lowest valuation.

But why not put those hands together? A company that has both growth and value characteristics would certainly make the most attractive investment. So what did we find out about Sabre?

Sabre’s optimistic future growth does not appear to have been fully factored into the current share price with the stock still trading below its intrinsic value. Therefore, it may be a good time to purchase shares or increase your position in the company.

It is important to note that there are a variety of other fundamental factors that I have not taken into consideration in this article. If you have not done so already, I highly recommend that you complete your research on Sabre by taking a look at the following:

Valuation Metrics: what is Sabre’s EBITDA less CapEx multiple and how does it compare to its peers? This is a helpful multiple to analyze when comparing capital intensive businesses. View the company’s EBITDA less CapEx multiple here.

Risk Metrics: what is Sabre’s asset efficiency? This ratio measures the amount of cash flow that a company generates from its assets. View the company’s asset efficiency here.

Efficiency Metrics: is management becoming more or less efficient in creating value for the firm? Find out by analyzing the company’s return on invested capital ratio here.

As of this writing, I did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities and this is not a buy or sell recommendation on any security mentioned.

Expertise: Valuation, financial statement analysis. Matt Hogan is also a co-founder of finbox.io. His expertise is in investment decision making. Prior to finbox.io, Matt worked for an investment banking group providing fairness opinions in connection to stock acquisitions. He spent much of his time building valuation models to help clients determine an asset’s fair value. He believes that these same valuation models should be used by all investors before buying or selling a stock. His work is frequently published at InvestorPlace, Benzinga, ValueWalk, AAII, Barron’s, Seeking Alpha and investing.com. Matt can be reached at matt@finbox.io or at +1 (516) 778-6257.

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